Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

93%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 92.5%

아니요 7.5%

$61.1M vol·$6.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 5d 1h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 66.5%

아니요 33.5%

$33.3M vol·$13.0M liq·5 mkts⏱ 11d 2h

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 17.5%

아니요 82.5%

$12.3M vol·$207K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

77%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 76.6%

아니요 23.4%

$60.6M vol·$20.8M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%확률

스프레드 0.2%

예 77.5%

아니요 22.5%

$193.5M vol·$1.2M liq·32 mkts⏱ 2d 1h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$23.9M vol·$590K liq·20 mkts⏱ 7d 21h

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$2.0M vol·$314K liq·8 mkts⏱ 7d 1h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

68%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 67.5%

아니요 32.5%

$8.8M vol·$4.9M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 2h

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 91.5%

아니요 8.5%

$21.1M vol·$7.7M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 2h

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

NRFI

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$913K vol·$436K liq·46 mkts⏱ 6d 21h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$3.4M vol·$1.3M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$5.4M vol·$826K liq·9 mkts⏱ 2d 1h

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

24%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 23.5%

아니요 76.5%

$29.7M vol·$8.6M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$60.0M vol·$11.5M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?

↑ 82,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$452K vol·$435K liq·16 mkts⏱ 1h 50m

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 50.2%

아니요 49.8%

$51.9M vol·$4.1M liq·28 mkts⏱ 4d 1h

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 31

14%확률

스프레드 2.0%

예 14.0%

아니요 86.0%

$654K vol·$112K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

72,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.05%

$475K vol·$675K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 50m

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$1.3M vol·$852K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 1h

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea FC

53%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 52.5%

아니요 47.5%

$338K vol·$1.2M liq·3 mkts⏱ 14h 20m

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

18%확률

스프레드 0.8%

예 18.4%

아니요 81.6%

$23.1M vol·$759K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 17.8%

아니요 82.3%

$1297.4M vol·$74.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

65%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 64.5%

아니요 35.5%

$5.9M vol·$827K liq·13 mkts⏱ 11d 2h

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

65-89

80%확률

스프레드 2.0%

예 80.0%

아니요 20.0%

$355K vol·$111K liq·10 mkts⏱ 13h 50m

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$38.7M vol·$309K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$4.1M vol·$838K liq·34 mkts⏱ 8d 1h

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

300-319

25%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 24.5%

아니요 75.5%

$667K vol·$261K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3d 13h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 46.3%

아니요 53.8%

$155.8M vol·$19.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$10.1M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 8d 1h

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029

24%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 23.5%

아니요 76.5%

$2.6M vol·$687K liq·3 mkts⏱ 38mo

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over96%

Under4%

$212K vol·$912K liq·68 mkts⏱ 16h 50m

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

72%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 71.5%

아니요 28.5%

$3.6M vol·$1.6M liq·37 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

11%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 10.5%

아니요 89.5%

$30.4M vol·$845K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

57%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 57.5%

아니요 42.5%

$42.4M vol·$358K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

69%확률

스프레드 0.9%

예 68.7%

아니요 31.4%

$2.0M vol·$1.1M liq·53 mkts⏱ 2d 1h

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,500

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$484K vol·$649K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 1h

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over94%

Under6%

$382K vol·$306K liq·27 mkts⏱ 1d 1h

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 71.5%

아니요 28.5%

$9.6M vol·$1.3M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

21%확률

스프레드 0.7%

예 20.5%

아니요 79.5%

$718.5M vol·$59.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google

87%확률

스프레드 0.8%

예 86.7%

아니요 13.3%

$3.4M vol·$1.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 7d 13h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

63%확률

스프레드 2.0%

예 63.0%

아니요 37.0%

$1.1M vol·$736K liq·10 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 5.5%

아니요 94.5%

$27.9M vol·$461K liq⏱ 2mo

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

1%확률

스프레드 0.2%

예 0.50%

아니요 99.5%

$3.2M vol·$133K liq⏱ 8d 1h

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31

38%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 37.5%

아니요 62.5%

$10.5M vol·$99K liq·11 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

5%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 4.8%

아니요 95.3%

$74.7M vol·$733K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla Set 2 Winner

Francesco Forti50%

Oriol Roca Batalla50%

$140K vol·$8K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 5h

What price will Ethereum hit on October 23?

↓ 2,400

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$137K vol·$267K liq·14 mkts⏱ 1h 50m

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$77.8M vol·$4.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Manchester City FC

61%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 60.5%

아니요 39.5%

$188K vol·$1.5M liq·3 mkts⏱ 9h 20m

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31

83%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 82.5%

아니요 17.5%

$2.0M vol·$108K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

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