Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 66.5%

아니요 33.5%

$35.5M vol·$14.5M liq·5 mkts⏱ 11d 1h

Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

94%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 93.5%

아니요 6.5%

$61.3M vol·$6.6M liq·5 mkts⏱ 5d 0h

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 17.5%

아니요 82.5%

$12.3M vol·$207K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%확률

스프레드 0.2%

예 79.3%

아니요 20.7%

$193.6M vol·$1.1M liq·32 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

77%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 77.3%

아니요 22.8%

$60.7M vol·$22.4M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$24.0M vol·$695K liq·20 mkts⏱ 7d 20h

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$2.0M vol·$305K liq·8 mkts⏱ 7d 0h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

68%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 67.5%

아니요 32.5%

$8.8M vol·$4.7M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 1h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$3.4M vol·$1.4M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 91.5%

아니요 8.5%

$21.1M vol·$7.7M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 1h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$5.5M vol·$725K liq·9 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

24%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 23.5%

아니요 76.5%

$29.8M vol·$8.8M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%확률

예 50.0%

아니요 50.0%

$60.1M vol·$11.4M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?

↑ 82,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$482K vol·$385K liq·16 mkts⏱ 12m

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

51%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 50.8%

아니요 49.1%

$51.9M vol·$4.0M liq·28 mkts⏱ 4d 0h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

78%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 77.5%

아니요 22.5%

$3.9M vol·$1.5M liq·37 mkts⏱ 1d 20h

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 31

14%확률

스프레드 2.0%

예 14.0%

아니요 86.0%

$660K vol·$116K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

72,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.05%

$493K vol·$682K liq·11 mkts⏱ 12h 12m

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

17%확률

스프레드 0.9%

예 16.9%

아니요 83.2%

$1297.4M vol·$74.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea FC

53%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 52.5%

아니요 47.5%

$341K vol·$1.3M liq·3 mkts⏱ 12h 42m

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$1.3M vol·$841K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Nashville SC

18%확률

스프레드 2.6%

예 18.4%

아니요 81.6%

$23.1M vol·$742K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

65-89

80%확률

스프레드 3.0%

예 79.5%

아니요 20.5%

$386K vol·$122K liq·10 mkts⏱ 12h 12m

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

65%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 64.5%

아니요 35.5%

$5.9M vol·$806K liq·13 mkts⏱ 11d 1h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$38.8M vol·$317K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$10.1M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 8d 0h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 46.3%

아니요 53.8%

$155.8M vol·$19.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

300-319

24%확률

스프레드 2.0%

예 24.0%

아니요 76.0%

$673K vol·$249K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3d 12h

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

70%확률

스프레드 0.3%

예 69.8%

아니요 30.1%

$2.0M vol·$957K liq·53 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029

24%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 23.5%

아니요 76.5%

$2.6M vol·$675K liq·3 mkts⏱ 38mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$4.1M vol·$846K liq·34 mkts⏱ 8d 0h

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over96%

Under4%

$212K vol·$909K liq·68 mkts⏱ 15h 12m

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

11%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 10.5%

아니요 89.5%

$30.4M vol·$823K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

57%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 57.5%

아니요 42.5%

$42.4M vol·$365K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,500

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$489K vol·$670K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over94%

Under6%

$385K vol·$297K liq·27 mkts⏱ 1d 0h

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 71.5%

아니요 28.5%

$9.6M vol·$1.3M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

21%확률

스프레드 0.7%

예 20.5%

아니요 79.5%

$718.5M vol·$59.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%확률

예 49.0%

아니요 51.0%

$716.0M vol·$50.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 5.5%

아니요 94.5%

$27.9M vol·$509K liq⏱ 2mo

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

63%확률

스프레드 3.0%

예 62.5%

아니요 37.5%

$1.1M vol·$745K liq·10 mkts⏱ 1d 20h

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

5%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 4.8%

아니요 95.3%

$74.7M vol·$762K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla Set 2 Winner

Francesco Forti50%

Oriol Roca Batalla50%

$143K vol·$15K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 4h

What price will Ethereum hit on October 23?

↓ 2,400

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$139K vol·$183K liq·14 mkts⏱ 12m

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Manchester City FC

61%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 60.5%

아니요 39.5%

$190K vol·$1.5M liq·3 mkts⏱ 7h 42m

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%확률

스프레드 0.1%

예 100.0%

아니요 0.00%

$77.8M vol·$4.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google

88%확률

스프레드 0.2%

예 87.7%

아니요 12.3%

$3.4M vol·$1.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 7d 12h

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31

38%확률

스프레드 1.0%

예 37.5%

아니요 62.5%

$10.5M vol·$86K liq·11 mkts⏱ 2mo

Buccaneers vs. Panthers

O/U 24.5

Over95%

Under5%

$323K vol·$3.1M liq·306 mkts⏱ 1d 13h

Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over93%

Under7%

$128K vol·$1.3M liq·68 mkts⏱ 10h 12m

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