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Hot
Fed Decision in September?
62%chance
1.0% spreadYes 61.5%
No 38.5%
$115.7M vol·$4.9M liq·5 mkts⏱ 4d 15h
Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
19%chance
0.1% spreadYes 19.4%
No 80.7%
$1276.1M vol·$78.6M liq·128 mkts⏱ 26mo
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
MIBR100%
Alliance0%
$1.2M vol·$107K liq·22 mkts⏱ 3h 56m
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$31.3M vol·$8.6M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
54%chance
0.4% spreadYes 54.2%
No 45.8%
$147.6M vol·$17.3M liq·32 mkts⏱ 22d 15h
Hot
Next French Presidential Election
35%chance
0.1% spreadYes 34.9%
No 65.0%
$131.1M vol·$16.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 7mo
Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 99.9%
No 0.15%
$1.4M vol·$579K liq·11 mkts⏱ 7h 46m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
FURIA57%
G243%
$932K vol·$633K liq·11 mkts⏱ 6h 46m
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
92%chance
1.0% spreadYes 91.5%
No 8.5%
$2.2M vol·$571K liq·26 mkts⏱ 7h 46m
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
50%chance
0.1% spreadYes 50.2%
No 49.8%
$702.2M vol·$54.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 26mo
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$3.2M vol·$918K liq·28 mkts⏱ 19d 19h
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$4.8M vol·$1.4M liq·26 mkts⏱ 19d 19h
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille
49%chance
2.0% spreadYes 49.0%
No 51.0%
$640K vol·$530K liq·3 mkts⏱ 10h 31m
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$65.1M vol·$3.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
93%chance
0.4% spreadYes 92.9%
No 7.1%
$52.2M vol·$3.7M liq·13 mkts⏱ 3mo
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
78%chance
2.0% spreadYes 78.0%
No 22.0%
$26.8M vol·$2.5M liq·34 mkts⏱ 8d 15h
Hot
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
62%chance
0.1% spreadYes 62.0%
No 38.0%
$34.6M vol·$7.6M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$29.6M vol·$358K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
64%chance
0.5% spreadYes 64.3%
No 35.8%
$27.5M vol·$533K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
20%chance
1.0% spreadYes 19.5%
No 80.5%
$11.3M vol·$385K liq⏱ 3mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
14%chance
1.0% spreadYes 14.5%
No 85.5%
$51.9M vol·$6.2M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%chance
1.0% spreadYes 15.5%
No 84.5%
$65.4M vol·$725K liq⏱ 3mo
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.6M vol·$983K liq·28 mkts⏱ 19d 19h
2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
56%chance
1.0% spreadYes 55.5%
No 44.5%
$11.0M vol·$91K liq·67 mkts⏱ 1d 15h
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%chance
1.0% spreadYes 17.5%
No 82.5%
$14.8M vol·$225K liq⏱ 3mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
27%chance
1.0% spreadYes 26.5%
No 73.5%
$12.7M vol·$308K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
Which party will win the House in 2026?
87%chance
1.0% spreadYes 86.5%
No 13.5%
$10.7M vol·$517K liq·9 mkts⏱ 1mo
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
14%chance
1.0% spreadYes 13.5%
No 86.5%
$23.5M vol·$888K liq·5 mkts⏱ 9mo
Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
100%chance
0.5% spreadYes 99.8%
No 0.25%
$323K vol·$303K liq·11 mkts⏱ 7h 46m
What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$744K vol·$479K liq·17 mkts⏱ 2d 19h
Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
52%chance
1.0% spreadYes 51.5%
No 48.5%
$268K vol·$245K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2d 4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
0%chance
0.1% spreadYes 0.15%
No 99.9%
$2.1M vol·$315K liq⏱ 3d 15h
Hot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
24%chance
0.1% spreadYes 24.3%
No 75.8%
$704.3M vol·$61.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 26mo
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
85%chance
3.0% spreadYes 84.5%
No 15.5%
$2.0M vol·$196K liq·5 mkts⏱ 19d 15h
"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
92%chance
5.0% spreadYes 91.5%
No 8.5%
$190K vol·$7K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2d 3h
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%chance
2.0% spreadYes 14.0%
No 86.0%
$3.6M vol·$236K liq·4 mkts⏱ 3mo
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
B868%
Inner Circle Esports33%
$179K vol·$78K liq·8 mkts⏱ 5h 46m
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
83%chance
1.0% spreadYes 82.5%
No 17.5%
$5.3M vol·$1.3M liq·36 mkts⏱ 1d 15h
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
Over82%
Under18%
$176K vol·$908K liq·26 mkts⏱ 7d 10h
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 50.9%
No 49.0%
$24.5M vol·$877K liq·49 mkts⏱ 1d 15h
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF
49%chance
1.0% spreadYes 48.5%
No 51.5%
$151K vol·$698K liq·3 mkts⏱ 10h 46m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2%chance
0.2% spreadYes 1.8%
No 98.2%
$8.4M vol·$311K liq⏱ 18d 15h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
80%chance
2.0% spreadYes 80.0%
No 20.0%
$1.0M vol·$342K liq·24 mkts⏱ 8d 15h
San Diego State vs. UCLA
Over82%
Under19%
$126K vol·$444K liq·121 mkts⏱ 1d 15h
Fed Decision in October?
66%chance
1.0% spreadYes 65.5%
No 34.5%
$1.5M vol·$980K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
28%chance
1.0% spreadYes 27.5%
No 72.5%
$459K vol·$441K liq·26 mkts⏱ 4d 7h
Largest Company end of December 2026?
73%chance
2.0% spreadYes 73.0%
No 27.0%
$7.1M vol·$1.4M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3mo
Howard vs. Indiana
Over93%
Under7%
$119K vol·$179K liq·80 mkts⏱ 1d 7h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
KT Rolster Challengers75%
DN SOOPers Challengers26%
$108K vol·$270K liq·51 mkts⏱ 5h 46m
Fed rate hike by...?
75%chance
1.0% spreadYes 74.5%
No 25.5%
$3.0M vol·$119K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo