Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

93%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 92.5%

Hayır 7.5%

$61.0M vol·$5.3M liq·5 mkts⏱ 5d 4h

Hot

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 66.5%

Hayır 33.5%

$33.2M vol·$12.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 17.5%

Hayır 82.5%

$12.3M vol·$210K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

77%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 76.8%

Hayır 23.3%

$60.5M vol·$22.8M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

50%olasılık

Evet 50.0%

Hayır 50.0%

$1.1M vol·$154K liq·11 mkts⏱ 5h 26m

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

77%olasılık

0.2% spread

Evet 77.0%

Hayır 23.0%

$193.4M vol·$1.1M liq·32 mkts⏱ 2d 4h

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

O/U 204.5

Over94%

Under6%

$1.3M vol·$5.1M liq·355 mkts⏱ 2h 11m

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$2.0M vol·$319K liq·8 mkts⏱ 7d 4h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$23.8M vol·$508K liq·20 mkts⏱ 8d 0h

Pelicans vs. Jazz

O/U 214.5

Over92%

Under8%

$1.0M vol·$4.6M liq·366 mkts⏱ 1h 41m

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

68%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 67.5%

Hayır 32.5%

$8.8M vol·$4.9M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

O/U 207.5

Over95%

Under5%

$842K vol·$5.4M liq·343 mkts⏱ 2h 11m

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 91.5%

Hayır 8.5%

$21.1M vol·$7.7M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%olasılık

Evet 50.0%

Hayır 50.0%

$5.2M vol·$940K liq·9 mkts⏱ 2d 4h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%olasılık

Evet 50.0%

Hayır 50.0%

$3.3M vol·$1.0M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Pistons vs. Heat

O/U 207.5

Over94%

Under7%

$605K vol·$5.0M liq·432 mkts⏱ 11m

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

O/U 0.5

Over98%

Under2%

$641K vol·$2.6M liq·46 mkts⏱ 7d 0h

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 50.1%

Hayır 49.9%

$51.9M vol·$3.7M liq·28 mkts⏱ 4d 4h

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

24%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 23.5%

Hayır 76.5%

$29.6M vol·$8.6M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%olasılık

Evet 50.0%

Hayır 50.0%

$60.0M vol·$11.6M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

Clippers vs. Lakers

1H O/U 94.5

Over89%

Under11%

$499K vol·$4.2M liq·392 mkts⏱ 2h 11m

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 31

14%olasılık

2.0% spread

Evet 14.0%

Hayır 86.0%

$654K vol·$115K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?

↑ 82,000

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$357K vol·$426K liq·16 mkts⏱ 4h 11m

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$1.2M vol·$835K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 4h

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 17.8%

Hayır 82.3%

$1297.4M vol·$74.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea FC

53%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 52.5%

Hayır 47.5%

$334K vol·$933K liq·3 mkts⏱ 16h 41m

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

18%olasılık

0.8% spread

Evet 18.4%

Hayır 81.6%

$23.1M vol·$754K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

72,000

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.05%

$412K vol·$639K liq·11 mkts⏱ 16h 11m

Rockets vs. Spurs

O/U 197.5

Over94%

Under6%

$291K vol·$4.6M liq·446 mkts⏱ 1h 41m

Hot

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$38.7M vol·$281K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

65-89

77%olasılık

2.0% spread

Evet 77.0%

Hayır 23.0%

$336K vol·$98K liq·10 mkts⏱ 16h 11m

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

51%olasılık

Evet 50.5%

Hayır 49.5%

$243K vol·$446K liq·8 mkts⏱ 6h 11m

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$4.1M vol·$881K liq·34 mkts⏱ 8d 4h

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

66%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 65.5%

Hayır 34.5%

$5.8M vol·$847K liq·13 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

280-299

23%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 22.5%

Hayır 77.5%

$652K vol·$248K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3d 16h

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

11%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 10.5%

Hayır 89.5%

$30.4M vol·$821K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$10.1M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 8d 4h

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029

24%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 23.5%

Hayır 76.5%

$2.6M vol·$679K liq·3 mkts⏱ 38mo

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over96%

Under4%

$211K vol·$860K liq·68 mkts⏱ 19h 11m

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 46.3%

Hayır 53.8%

$155.7M vol·$19.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

69%olasılık

0.2% spread

Evet 69.1%

Hayır 30.9%

$2.0M vol·$900K liq·53 mkts⏱ 2d 4h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

71%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 70.5%

Hayır 29.5%

$3.6M vol·$1.6M liq·37 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

Hot

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

57%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 57.5%

Hayır 42.5%

$42.4M vol·$324K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%olasılık

1.0% spread

Evet 71.5%

Hayır 28.5%

$9.6M vol·$1.2M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Army vs. Tulsa

O/U 35.5

Over92%

Under8%

$195K vol·$2.3M liq·214 mkts⏱ 41m

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over94%

Under6%

$381K vol·$305K liq·27 mkts⏱ 1d 4h

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,500

100%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 100.0%

Hayır 0.00%

$465K vol·$669K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2d 4h

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%olasılık

0.1% spread

Evet 20.1%

Hayır 80.0%

$718.5M vol·$59.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google

86%olasılık

1.5% spread

Evet 86.4%

Hayır 13.7%

$3.4M vol·$1.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 7d 16h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

62%olasılık

2.0% spread

Evet 62.0%

Hayır 38.0%

$1.1M vol·$756K liq·10 mkts⏱ 2d 0h

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