Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%概率

价差 1.0%

是 66.5%

否 33.5%

$35.5M vol·$14.5M liq·5 mkts⏱ 11d 0h

Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

94%概率

价差 1.0%

是 93.5%

否 6.5%

$61.3M vol·$6.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 4d 23h

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%概率

价差 1.0%

是 17.5%

否 82.5%

$12.3M vol·$210K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

80%概率

价差 0.5%

是 79.5%

否 20.4%

$193.9M vol·$1.3M liq·32 mkts⏱ 1d 23h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$24.0M vol·$696K liq·20 mkts⏱ 7d 19h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

77%概率

价差 0.2%

是 77.2%

否 22.8%

$60.7M vol·$22.4M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$2.0M vol·$305K liq·8 mkts⏱ 6d 23h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

68%概率

价差 1.0%

是 67.5%

否 32.5%

$8.8M vol·$4.8M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 0h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$3.5M vol·$1.3M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$5.5M vol·$763K liq·9 mkts⏱ 1d 23h

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%概率

价差 2.0%

是 92.0%

否 8.0%

$21.1M vol·$7.7M liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 0h

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

24%概率

价差 1.0%

是 23.5%

否 76.5%

$29.8M vol·$8.8M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea FC

52%概率

价差 1.0%

是 51.5%

否 48.5%

$583K vol·$1.2M liq·3 mkts⏱ 12h 6m

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$60.1M vol·$11.5M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

51%概率

价差 0.2%

是 50.7%

否 49.3%

$51.9M vol·$4.0M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3d 23h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

79%概率

价差 1.0%

是 78.5%

否 21.5%

$3.9M vol·$1.5M liq·37 mkts⏱ 1d 19h

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 31

15%概率

价差 2.0%

是 15.0%

否 85.0%

$661K vol·$110K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

72,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.05%

$507K vol·$732K liq·11 mkts⏱ 11h 36m

Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over94%

Under7%

$353K vol·$1.2M liq·68 mkts⏱ 9h 36m

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

17%概率

价差 0.5%

是 16.7%

否 83.4%

$1297.5M vol·$74.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$1.3M vol·$880K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1d 23h

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

18%概率

价差 0.8%

是 18.4%

否 81.6%

$23.1M vol·$743K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

65-89

84%概率

价差 1.0%

是 83.5%

否 16.5%

$390K vol·$110K liq·10 mkts⏱ 11h 36m

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

64%概率

价差 1.0%

是 63.5%

否 36.5%

$5.9M vol·$775K liq·13 mkts⏱ 11d 0h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$38.8M vol·$310K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$10.1M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 7d 23h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%概率

价差 0.1%

是 46.3%

否 53.8%

$155.8M vol·$19.6M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

300-319

24%概率

价差 2.0%

是 24.0%

否 76.0%

$673K vol·$269K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3d 11h

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

70%概率

价差 0.8%

是 70.1%

否 29.9%

$2.0M vol·$937K liq·53 mkts⏱ 1d 23h

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,500

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$515K vol·$671K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1d 23h

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over96%

Under4%

$216K vol·$969K liq·68 mkts⏱ 14h 36m

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029

24%概率

价差 1.0%

是 23.5%

否 76.5%

$2.6M vol·$676K liq·3 mkts⏱ 38mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$4.1M vol·$843K liq·34 mkts⏱ 7d 23h

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

11%概率

价差 1.0%

是 10.5%

否 89.5%

$30.4M vol·$819K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

57%概率

价差 1.0%

是 57.5%

否 42.5%

$42.4M vol·$362K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks Set 1 Winner

Ena Shibahara100%

Alycia Parks0%

$139K vol·$95K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 22h

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over94%

Under6%

$387K vol·$299K liq·27 mkts⏱ 23h 36m

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%概率

价差 1.0%

是 71.5%

否 28.5%

$9.6M vol·$1.3M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

21%概率

价差 0.7%

是 20.5%

否 79.5%

$718.5M vol·$59.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%概率

是 49.0%

否 51.0%

$716.0M vol·$50.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%概率

价差 1.0%

是 5.5%

否 94.5%

$27.9M vol·$501K liq⏱ 2mo

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

62%概率

价差 2.0%

是 62.0%

否 38.0%

$1.1M vol·$778K liq·10 mkts⏱ 1d 19h

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

5%概率

价差 0.1%

是 4.8%

否 95.3%

$74.7M vol·$763K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla Set 2 Winner

Francesco Forti50%

Oriol Roca Batalla50%

$143K vol·$22K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 3h

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Manchester City FC

61%概率

价差 1.0%

是 60.5%

否 39.5%

$192K vol·$1.7M liq·3 mkts⏱ 7h 6m

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$77.8M vol·$4.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google

89%概率

价差 1.9%

是 88.8%

否 11.3%

$3.4M vol·$1.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 7d 11h

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 22.5

Over70%

Under30%

$118K vol·$95K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 22h

Buccaneers vs. Panthers

O/U 24.5

Over96%

Under5%

$323K vol·$3.1M liq·306 mkts⏱ 1d 12h

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

76%概率

价差 2.0%

是 76.0%

否 24.0%

$1.0M vol·$304K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

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