Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%概率

价差 1.0%

是 66.5%

否 33.5%

$35.6M vol·$14.3M liq·5 mkts⏱ 10d 22h

Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

94%概率

价差 1.0%

是 93.5%

否 6.5%

$61.3M vol·$6.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 4d 21h

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

18%概率

价差 1.0%

是 17.5%

否 82.5%

$12.3M vol·$211K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%概率

价差 0.3%

是 79.3%

否 20.6%

$194.1M vol·$1.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$2.3M vol·$413K liq·8 mkts⏱ 6d 21h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$24.1M vol·$723K liq·20 mkts⏱ 7d 17h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

78%概率

价差 0.1%

是 77.5%

否 22.4%

$60.8M vol·$22.4M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

68%概率

价差 1.0%

是 67.5%

否 32.5%

$8.9M vol·$4.6M liq·9 mkts⏱ 10d 22h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$3.5M vol·$1.4M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$5.5M vol·$676K liq·9 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 8.5

Over100%

Under0%

$651K vol·$117K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 20h

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea FC

52%概率

价差 1.0%

是 51.5%

否 48.5%

$628K vol·$1.8M liq·3 mkts⏱ 10h 9m

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

24%概率

价差 1.0%

是 23.5%

否 76.5%

$29.9M vol·$8.8M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%概率

价差 1.0%

是 91.5%

否 8.5%

$21.2M vol·$7.5M liq·9 mkts⏱ 10d 22h

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

52%概率

价差 0.1%

是 51.8%

否 48.1%

$52.0M vol·$4.0M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3d 21h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

74%概率

价差 1.0%

是 73.5%

否 26.5%

$4.0M vol·$1.6M liq·37 mkts⏱ 1d 17h

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%概率

是 50.0%

否 50.0%

$60.1M vol·$11.4M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 31

14%概率

价差 2.0%

是 14.0%

否 86.0%

$666K vol·$129K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

72,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.05%

$535K vol·$726K liq·11 mkts⏱ 9h 39m

Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over94%

Under7%

$388K vol·$1.8M liq·68 mkts⏱ 7h 39m

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

17%概率

价差 0.3%

是 16.9%

否 83.2%

$1297.5M vol·$74.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$1.3M vol·$884K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

65-89

83%概率

价差 3.0%

是 82.5%

否 17.5%

$435K vol·$130K liq·10 mkts⏱ 9h 39m

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Nashville SC

19%概率

价差 1.7%

是 18.6%

否 81.5%

$23.1M vol·$732K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$38.8M vol·$310K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over96%

Under4%

$270K vol·$1.2M liq·68 mkts⏱ 12h 39m

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

64%概率

价差 1.0%

是 63.5%

否 36.5%

$5.9M vol·$856K liq·13 mkts⏱ 10d 22h

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%概率

是 49.0%

否 51.0%

$716.1M vol·$50.8M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$10.2M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 7d 21h

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

71%概率

价差 1.8%

是 70.9%

否 29.1%

$2.0M vol·$719K liq·53 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%概率

价差 0.1%

是 46.3%

否 53.8%

$155.8M vol·$19.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

280-299

23%概率

价差 2.0%

是 23.0%

否 77.0%

$696K vol·$253K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3d 9h

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,500

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$522K vol·$675K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029

24%概率

价差 1.0%

是 23.5%

否 76.5%

$2.6M vol·$695K liq·3 mkts⏱ 38mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$4.1M vol·$843K liq·34 mkts⏱ 7d 21h

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets

O/U 0.5

Over97%

Under3%

$212K vol·$1.7M liq·68 mkts⏱ 5h 9m

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over94%

Under6%

$394K vol·$310K liq·27 mkts⏱ 21h 39m

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

57%概率

价差 1.0%

是 57.5%

否 42.5%

$42.4M vol·$403K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Liudmila Samsonova vs Heather Watson

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Liudmila Samsonova vs Heather Watson Set 1 Winner

Liudmila Samsonova100%

Heather Watson0%

$154K vol·$165K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 19h

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

21%概率

价差 0.5%

是 20.5%

否 79.5%

$718.5M vol·$59.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

5%概率

价差 0.1%

是 4.5%

否 95.5%

$74.7M vol·$770K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%概率

价差 1.0%

是 71.5%

否 28.5%

$9.6M vol·$1.2M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

11%概率

价差 1.0%

是 10.5%

否 89.5%

$30.4M vol·$823K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%概率

价差 1.0%

是 5.5%

否 94.5%

$27.9M vol·$507K liq⏱ 2mo

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla Set 2 Winner

Francesco Forti50%

Oriol Roca Batalla50%

$143K vol·$42K liq·17 mkts⏱ 6d 1h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

0%概率

价差 0.1%

是 0.35%

否 99.7%

$3.2M vol·$186K liq⏱ 7d 21h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

62%概率

价差 2.0%

是 62.0%

否 38.0%

$1.1M vol·$767K liq·10 mkts⏱ 1d 17h

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Manchester City FC

61%概率

价差 1.0%

是 60.5%

否 39.5%

$199K vol·$1.8M liq·3 mkts⏱ 5h 9m

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

77%概率

价差 2.0%

是 77.0%

否 23.0%

$1.1M vol·$242K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%概率

价差 0.1%

是 100.0%

否 0.00%

$77.8M vol·$4.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

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