Fed Decision in October?

68%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 67.5%

No 32.5%

$39.6M vol·$3.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 14d 5h

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$52.4M vol·$11.3M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Over80%

Under20%

$947K vol·$6.3M liq·35 mkts⏱ 7d 1h

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

85%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 85.2%

No 14.8%

$181.7M vol·$1.9M liq·32 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$12.9M vol·$854K liq·18 mkts⏱ 17d 1h

Seahawks vs. Broncos

Over96%

Under5%

$717K vol·$6.0M liq·309 mkts⏱ 1d 1h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

62%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 62.0%

No 38.0%

$50.1M vol·$9.8M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

35%chance

0.5% spread

Yes 35.3%

No 64.8%

$2.0M vol·$253K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 17h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

44%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 44.0%

No 56.0%

$150.8M vol·$17.1M liq·128 mkts⏱ 6mo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

63%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 62.5%

No 37.5%

$23.4M vol·$8.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 20d 6h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$34.7M vol·$287K liq·29 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 14?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$432K vol·$272K liq·16 mkts⏱ 5h 14m

Which party will win the House in 2026?

91%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 90.5%

No 9.5%

$17.1M vol·$5.0M liq·9 mkts⏱ 20d 6h

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

48%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 48.3%

No 51.7%

$46.3M vol·$3.2M liq·28 mkts⏱ 13d 5h

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

93%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 93.0%

No 7.0%

$1.5M vol·$962K liq·3 mkts⏱ 20d 6h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.05%

$472K vol·$621K liq·11 mkts⏱ 17h 14m

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$1.2M vol·$660K liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 5h

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 64.5%

No 35.5%

$40.0M vol·$555K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$6.6M vol·$1.5M liq·31 mkts⏱ 17d 5h

Eagles vs. Commanders

Eagles51%

Commanders49%

$285K vol·$619 liq·280 mkts⏱ 18d 2h

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

22%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 22.1%

No 77.8%

$716.2M vol·$60.5M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo

Bears vs. Seahawks

Bears75%

Seahawks25%

$353K vol·$597 liq·280 mkts⏱ 19d 2h

Worlds 2026: Winner

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$930K vol·$476K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Stars vs. Avalanche

Over78%

Under23%

$298K vol·$876K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1h 44m

Fed Decision in December?

79%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 78.5%

No 21.5%

$3.5M vol·$780K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$469K vol·$511K liq·19 mkts⏱ 4d 5h

NBA: 2027 Champion

22%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 21.5%

No 78.5%

$25.6M vol·$8.0M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston

Over89%

Under11%

$249K vol·$2.5M liq·214 mkts⏱ 1h 14m

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

92%chance

0.3% spread

Yes 92.3%

No 7.8%

$5.2M vol·$1.8M liq·49 mkts⏱ 14mo

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$75.4M vol·$4.5M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

12%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 12.0%

No 87.9%

$65.8M vol·$7.7M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Over74%

Under26%

$219K vol·$672K liq·56 mkts⏱ 16h 14m

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 16.9%

No 83.2%

$1294.1M vol·$75.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo

Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State

Over89%

Under12%

$191K vol·$3.0M liq·215 mkts⏱ 44m

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

65%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 64.5%

No 35.5%

$1.1M vol·$256K liq·30 mkts⏱ 1mo

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Aurora Gaming72%

NIP28%

$165K vol·$164K liq·11 mkts⏱ 15h 44m

Hot

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

9%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 8.5%

No 91.5%

$76.1M vol·$310K liq·11 mkts⏱ 2mo

Suns vs. Spurs

Over76%

Under24%

$167K vol·$486K liq·36 mkts⏱ 1h 14m

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

80%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 79.5%

No 20.5%

$8.1M vol·$6.2M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo

M25 Austin, TX: Devin Badenhorst vs Micah Braswell

Devin Badenhorst0%

Micah Braswell100%

$146K vol·$37K liq·3 mkts⏱ 6d 17h

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Zero Tenacity100%

Mena Warriors0%

$145K vol·$368K liq·20 mkts⏱ 2h 14m

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.7M vol·$827K liq·33 mkts⏱ 17d 5h

Largest Company end of December 2026?

71%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 71.0%

No 29.0%

$8.3M vol·$1.3M liq·28 mkts⏱ 2mo

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.5M vol·$427K liq·27 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

18%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 17.5%

No 82.5%

$338K vol·$269K liq·26 mkts⏱ 5d 17h

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

25%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 24.5%

No 75.5%

$190K vol·$82K liq·2 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

5%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 4.7%

No 95.3%

$73.4M vol·$721K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

Alaska Governor Election Winner

77%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 76.6%

No 23.4%

$1.5M vol·$1.3M liq·40 mkts⏱ 20d 6h

What price will Ethereum hit on October 14?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$109K vol·$165K liq·14 mkts⏱ 5h 14m

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 86.0%

No 14.0%

$764K vol·$138K liq⏱ 1mo

Trending Predictions