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What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$10.8M vol·$1.3M liq·35 mkts⏱ 9d 8h
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
61%chance
0.3% spreadYes 60.9%
No 39.1%
$152.9M vol·$18.9M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 4h
Fed Decision in October?
50%chance
1.0% spreadYes 49.5%
No 50.5%
$9.0M vol·$1.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
12%chance
1.0% spreadYes 11.5%
No 88.5%
$58.4M vol·$6.1M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo
Giants vs. Rams
Over93%
Under7%
$1.0M vol·$10.0M liq·59 mkts⏱ 4h 35m
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$68.6M vol·$2.8M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$5.3M vol·$637K liq·41 mkts⏱ 9d 8h
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$37.8M vol·$9.3M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 99.7%
No 0.35%
$2.6M vol·$344K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.3%
No 95.8%
$69.1M vol·$1.2M liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
44%chance
2.0% spreadYes 44.0%
No 56.0%
$1.6M vol·$335K liq·26 mkts⏱ 20h 20m
Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
18%chance
0.3% spreadYes 18.4%
No 81.5%
$1283.1M vol·$75.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Bitcoin above ___ on September 22?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$584K vol·$379K liq·11 mkts⏱ 20h 20m
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$7.0M vol·$1.6M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9d 8h
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.8M vol·$474K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo
Hot
Next French Presidential Election
37%chance
0.1% spreadYes 37.5%
No 62.5%
$136.7M vol·$15.5M liq·128 mkts⏱ 7mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
19%chance
1.0% spreadYes 18.5%
No 81.5%
$2.4M vol·$248K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
63%chance
1.0% spreadYes 62.5%
No 37.5%
$13.2M vol·$1.3M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
64%chance
0.4% spreadYes 63.7%
No 36.3%
$30.2M vol·$438K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
32%chance
2.0% spreadYes 32.0%
No 68.0%
$7.4M vol·$310K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Over81%
Under20%
$291K vol·$1.6M liq·27 mkts⏱ 7d 2h
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$15.0M vol·$1.0M liq·30 mkts⏱ 3mo
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
99%chance
0.7% spreadYes 98.7%
No 1.4%
$799K vol·$147K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
1.0% spreadYes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$67.7M vol·$757K liq⏱ 3mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6%chance
0.3% spreadYes 6.0%
No 94.0%
$22.8M vol·$473K liq⏱ 3mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
26%chance
2.0% spreadYes 26.0%
No 74.0%
$663K vol·$247K liq·26 mkts⏱ 3d 20h
What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$209K vol·$238K liq·18 mkts⏱ 6d 8h
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Over86%
Under14%
$202K vol·$1.6M liq·27 mkts⏱ 7d 3h
Next Claude Opus released on...?
75%chance
Yes 74.8%
No 25.2%
$240K vol·$23K liq·16 mkts⏱ 9d 8h
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
78%chance
1.0% spreadYes 77.5%
No 22.5%
$870K vol·$86K liq·4 mkts⏱ 9d 8h
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$191K vol·$67K liq·16 mkts⏱ 8h 20m
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
98%chance
0.4% spreadYes 97.5%
No 2.5%
$897K vol·$41K liq⏱ 12mo
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 51.2%
No 48.8%
$706.8M vol·$51.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$25.2M vol·$1.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 9mo
Hot
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
51%chance
1.0% spreadYes 50.5%
No 49.5%
$97.3M vol·$2.0M liq·57 mkts⏱ 3mo
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
Yellow Submarine69%
Team Lynx32%
$148K vol·$172K liq·21 mkts⏱ 4h 20m
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
36%chance
1.8% spreadYes 36.1%
No 63.9%
$4.0M vol·$1.1M liq·49 mkts⏱ 3mo
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
Over82%
Under19%
$140K vol·$1.4M liq·27 mkts⏱ 7d 6h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$31.1M vol·$335K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
19%chance
2.0% spreadYes 19.0%
No 81.0%
$14.9M vol·$360K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
Ohio Senate Election Winner
60%chance
1.0% spreadYes 59.5%
No 40.5%
$621K vol·$174K liq·13 mkts⏱ 1mo
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
58%chance
0.1% spreadYes 58.3%
No 41.8%
$37.6M vol·$8.0M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
64%chance
1.0% spreadYes 63.5%
No 36.5%
$4.9M vol·$676K liq·9 mkts⏱ 1mo
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
B861%
Luminosity40%
$121K vol·$145K liq·11 mkts⏱ 23h 20m
Hot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
21%chance
0.1% spreadYes 20.6%
No 79.3%
$707.4M vol·$59.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Hot
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
0.2% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$42.6M vol·$563K liq⏱ 3mo
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
56%chance
1.0% spreadYes 55.5%
No 44.5%
$13.9M vol·$302K liq·15 mkts⏱ 3mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
47%chance
2.0% spreadYes 47.0%
No 53.0%
$105K vol·$41K liq·10 mkts⏱ 1d 20h
Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Pavel Lagutin100%
Svyatoslav Gulin0%
$93K vol·$26K liq·2 mkts⏱ 6d 11h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
93%chance
1.0% spreadYes 92.5%
No 7.5%
$12.0M vol·$1.2M liq·9 mkts⏱ 1mo