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Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
19%chance
0.8% spreadYes 18.5%
No 81.5%
$1282.8M vol·$75.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
12%chance
2.0% spreadYes 12.0%
No 88.0%
$58.2M vol·$6.7M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$37.3M vol·$11.1M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$1.7M vol·$442K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo
Bitcoin above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$722K vol·$677K liq·11 mkts⏱ 12h 0m
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$9.6M vol·$1.9M liq·33 mkts⏱ 10d 0h
Fed Decision in October?
55%chance
1.0% spreadYes 54.5%
No 45.5%
$8.2M vol·$2.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.7M vol·$319K liq·21 mkts⏱ 0m
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
23%chance
1.0% spreadYes 22.5%
No 77.5%
$2.1M vol·$227K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
61%chance
0.1% spreadYes 61.0%
No 39.1%
$97.2M vol·$2.2M liq·57 mkts⏱ 3mo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$31.0M vol·$287K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
59%chance
0.1% spreadYes 59.1%
No 40.9%
$152.1M vol·$19.6M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 20h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
60%chance
0.4% spreadYes 59.8%
No 40.2%
$29.9M vol·$484K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
89%chance
2.0% spreadYes 89.0%
No 11.0%
$395K vol·$154K liq·10 mkts⏱ 12h 0m
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
44%chance
1.0% spreadYes 43.5%
No 56.5%
$1.2M vol·$413K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 12h
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
79%chance
1.0% spreadYes 78.5%
No 21.5%
$6.9M vol·$5.8M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
52%chance
0.4% spreadYes 52.2%
No 47.8%
$38.4M vol·$2.7M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3mo
Giants vs. Rams
Over94%
Under7%
$374K vol·$1.6M liq·59 mkts⏱ 20h 15m
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$207K vol·$258K liq·16 mkts⏱ 0m
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$6.7M vol·$1.6M liq·35 mkts⏱ 10d 0h
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$4.6M vol·$833K liq·40 mkts⏱ 10d 0h
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
94%chance
0.9% spreadYes 94.0%
No 5.9%
$790K vol·$33K liq⏱ 12mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
1.0% spreadYes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$67.5M vol·$801K liq⏱ 3mo
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
57%chance
0.1% spreadYes 57.1%
No 42.9%
$37.5M vol·$8.2M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$707K vol·$26K liq·24 mkts⏱ 0m
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
98%chance
0.7% spreadYes 97.7%
No 2.4%
$623K vol·$147K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
19%chance
1.0% spreadYes 18.5%
No 81.5%
$14.9M vol·$329K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
EPL: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$18.1M vol·$11.2M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade
Arthur Fery51%
Andres Andrade50%
$168K vol·$154K liq⏱ 6d 8h
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
98%chance
1.5% spreadYes 98.0%
No 2.1%
$2.1M vol·$296K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$67.9M vol·$3.8M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
61%chance
1.0% spreadYes 60.5%
No 39.5%
$12.8M vol·$1.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
73%chance
2.0% spreadYes 73.0%
No 27.0%
$748K vol·$88K liq·4 mkts⏱ 9d 23h
Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$236K vol·$381K liq·11 mkts⏱ 12h 0m
Hot
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
7%chance
1.0% spreadYes 6.5%
No 93.5%
$73.6M vol·$219K liq·10 mkts⏱ 3mo
Crude Oil all time high by...?
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$4.1M vol·$264K liq·4 mkts⏱ 3mo
Trump out as President by September 30?
0%chance
0.1% spreadYes 0.45%
No 99.6%
$1.3M vol·$236K liq⏱ 9d 23h
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
30%chance
1.0% spreadYes 29.5%
No 70.5%
$479K vol·$347K liq·26 mkts⏱ 4d 12h
Hot
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$68.7M vol·$1.2M liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
86%chance
0.5% spreadYes 86.5%
No 13.6%
$6.3M vol·$933K liq·19 mkts⏱ 9d 23h
NBA: 2027 Champion
22%chance
1.0% spreadYes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$22.1M vol·$10.0M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6%chance
0.2% spreadYes 6.0%
No 94.0%
$22.6M vol·$381K liq⏱ 3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
20%chance
1.0% spreadYes 19.5%
No 80.5%
$12.0M vol·$367K liq⏱ 3mo
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
55%chance
Yes 55.0%
No 45.0%
$108K vol·$13K liq·13 mkts⏱ 9d 16h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$42.5M vol·$568K liq⏱ 3mo
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 51.2%
No 48.8%
$706.6M vol·$52.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
71%chance
1.0% spreadYes 70.5%
No 29.5%
$7.7M vol·$2.2M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 20h
Hot
Next French Presidential Election
37%chance
0.1% spreadYes 37.0%
No 62.9%
$136.3M vol·$15.9M liq·128 mkts⏱ 7mo
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska
Over61%
Under40%
$94K vol·$292K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 13h
Hot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
21%chance
0.1% spreadYes 20.8%
No 79.3%
$707.3M vol·$60.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo