Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%chance

Yes 49.0%

No 51.0%

$727.3M vol·$31.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%chance

0.7% spread

Yes 26.1%

No 74.0%

$1309.3M vol·$59.6M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

18%chance

0.4% spread

Yes 18.3%

No 81.7%

$732.1M vol·$51.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

2%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 2.4%

No 97.7%

$77.7M vol·$1.8M liq·7 mkts⏱ 1mo

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$68.3M vol·$10.8M liq·42 mkts⏱ 7mo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$45.5M vol·$615K liq·42 mkts⏱ 1mo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$40.2M vol·$2.3M liq·26 mkts⏱ 1mo

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

78%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 77.5%

No 22.5%

$12.9M vol·$2.6M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

43%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 43.0%

No 57.0%

$165.9M vol·$19.1M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Hot

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 12.5%

No 87.5%

$77.8M vol·$242K liq⏱ 1mo

Worlds 2026: Winner

Gen.G

53%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 52.5%

No 47.5%

$10.8M vol·$1.3M liq·20 mkts⏱ 23d 22h

Hot

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

71%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 70.5%

No 29.5%

$47.9M vol·$479K liq·25 mkts⏱ 1mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

300-319

38%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 37.5%

No 62.5%

$1.8M vol·$282K liq·30 mkts⏱ 1d 10h

Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?

72,000

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.05%

$650K vol·$291K liq·11 mkts⏱ 10h 40m

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 80,000

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$2.9M vol·$574K liq·23 mkts⏱ 25d 22h

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$81.6M vol·$3.4M liq·47 mkts⏱ 1mo

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

97%chance

0.3% spread

Yes 96.7%

No 3.4%

$427K vol·$212K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo

What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?

↑ 80,000

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$824K vol·$310K liq·18 mkts⏱ 3d 22h

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 4.3%

No 95.7%

$14.1M vol·$173K liq⏱ 1mo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an

69%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 68.5%

No 31.5%

$3.4M vol·$599K liq·30 mkts⏱ 23d 22h

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

52%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 51.5%

No 48.5%

$1.4M vol·$89K liq⏱ 1mo

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

11%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 10.5%

No 89.5%

$16.7M vol·$329K liq⏱ 1mo

Ethereum above ___ on November 5?

1,900

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.05%

$320K vol·$160K liq·11 mkts⏱ 10h 40m

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

↑ $100

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.2M vol·$351K liq·23 mkts⏱ 25d 22h

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs

23%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 22.5%

No 77.5%

$35.7M vol·$8.3M liq·36 mkts⏱ 7mo

What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8?

↑ 2,400

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$414K vol·$118K liq·18 mkts⏱ 3d 22h

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027

24%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 23.5%

No 76.5%

$29.0M vol·$513K liq·14 mkts⏱ 7mo

Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?

220-239

13%chance

1.8% spread

Yes 12.7%

No 87.3%

$341K vol·$228K liq·30 mkts⏱ 5d 10h

What price will Ethereum hit in November?

↑ 2,400

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$673K vol·$363K liq·24 mkts⏱ 25d 22h

Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers

14%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 14.1%

No 85.9%

$71.6M vol·$6.5M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

76%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 75.5%

No 24.5%

$1.8M vol·$218K liq·7 mkts⏱ 1mo

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

34%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 33.5%

No 66.5%

$3.6M vol·$178K liq·11 mkts⏱ 1mo

Jaguars vs. Ravens

O/U 24.5

Over91%

Under9%

$290K vol·$2.7M liq·305 mkts⏱ 18h 55m

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027

26%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 26.0%

No 74.0%

$4.8M vol·$113K liq·6 mkts⏱ 7mo

Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?

68,000

100%chance

0.2% spread

Yes 99.9%

No 0.10%

$254K vol·$180K liq·11 mkts⏱ 1d 10h

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase

98%chance

0.7% spread

Yes 98.5%

No 1.6%

$652K vol·$75K liq·5 mkts⏱ 17h 39m

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

37%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 37.0%

No 63.0%

$271K vol·$58K liq⏱ 25d 22h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T

26%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 25.5%

No 74.5%

$3.5M vol·$261K liq·10 mkts⏱ 14mo

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 2027

18%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 18.0%

No 82.0%

$5.6M vol·$158K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs

Match Winner

FURIA65%

BetBoom Team36%

$159K vol·$298K liq·11 mkts⏱ 1d 9h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

4%chance

0.2% spread

Yes 3.7%

No 96.3%

$1.5M vol·$334K liq⏱ 25d 22h

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

O/U 3.5 Games

Over74%

Under26%

$335K vol·$2.6M liq·49 mkts⏱ 21h 40m

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club)

98%chance

1.4% spread

Yes 98.3%

No 1.7%

$862K vol·$120K liq·3 mkts⏱ 11h 10m

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

2%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 1.8%

No 98.2%

$17.0M vol·$319K liq⏱ 1mo

Hot

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

92%chance

0.9% spread

Yes 91.8%

No 8.2%

$99.5M vol·$2.4M liq·57 mkts⏱ 1mo

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club

Draw (Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club)

98%chance

1.5% spread

Yes 98.5%

No 1.6%

$436K vol·$179K liq·3 mkts⏱ 1d 8h

LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

O/U 3.5 Games

Over62%

Under38%

$347K vol·$394K liq·34 mkts⏱ 1d 21h

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

88%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 87.5%

No 12.5%

$2.7M vol·$2.2M liq·58 mkts⏱ 24d 22h

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31

25%chance

2.0% spread

Yes 25.0%

No 75.0%

$11.0M vol·$106K liq·12 mkts⏱ 1mo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↑ 2,750

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$19.3M vol·$1.1M liq·30 mkts⏱ 1mo

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