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Predictions

Trending Predictions

8

Fed Decision in October?

$54.2M vol · 5 markets· ⏱ 7d 1h

No change

88%Yes
Buy Yes 87.5%
Buy No 12.5%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$29.0M vol · 5 markets· ⏱ 13d 2h

Democrats Sweep

67%Yes
Buy Yes 66.5%
Buy No 33.5%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$21.3M vol · 20 markets· ⏱ 9d 21h

September 20

100%Yes
Buy Yes 100.0%
Buy No 0.00%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

$59.0M vol · 42 markets· ⏱ 8mo

Other

50%Yes
Buy Yes 50.0%
Buy No 50.0%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

$57.3M vol · 89 markets· ⏱ 2mo

Harry Kane

76%Yes
Buy Yes 76.4%
Buy No 23.5%

Brazil Presidential Election

$191.2M vol · 32 markets· ⏱ 4d 1h

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%Yes
Buy Yes 78.5%
Buy No 21.6%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$715.0M vol · 128 markets· ⏱ 24mo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%Yes
Buy Yes 49.0%
Buy No 51.0%

Kings vs. Clippers

$1.0M vol · 74 markets· ⏱ 22m

O/U 216.5

Over72%
Under28%
/
Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

88%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 87.5%
No 12.5%
$54.2M vol·$5.2M liq·5 mkts⏱ 7d 1h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 66.5%
No 33.5%
$29.0M vol·$8.8M liq·5 mkts⏱ 13d 2h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$21.3M vol·$565K liq·20 mkts⏱ 9d 21h
Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$59.0M vol·$10.7M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

76%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 76.4%
No 23.5%
$57.3M vol·$12.0M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo
Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%chance
0.3% spread
Yes 78.5%
No 21.6%
$191.2M vol·$1.1M liq·32 mkts⏱ 4d 1h
Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%chance
Yes 49.0%
No 51.0%
$715.0M vol·$51.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Kings vs. Clippers

O/U 216.5

Over72%
Under28%
$1.0M vol·$5.9M liq·74 mkts⏱ 22m

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

22%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$28.4M vol·$8.3M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

260-279

30%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 30.0%
No 70.0%
$1.9M vol·$228K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 13h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$4.3M vol·$853K liq·9 mkts⏱ 4d 1h
Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%chance
0.3% spread
Yes 16.7%
No 83.4%
$1296.7M vol·$75.6M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$38.0M vol·$339K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 91.5%
No 8.5%
$19.7M vol·$6.8M liq·9 mkts⏱ 13d 2h
Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

53%chance
1.2% spread
Yes 52.5%
No 47.5%
$50.4M vol·$4.1M liq·28 mkts⏱ 6d 1h

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

69%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 68.5%
No 31.5%
$5.2M vol·$940K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 2h

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 21?

↑ 84,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$515K vol·$420K liq·16 mkts⏱ 1h 52m
Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 46.5%
No 53.5%
$154.8M vol·$20.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$9.5M vol·$1.8M liq·37 mkts⏱ 10d 1h

Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno

Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 2 Winner

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna100%
Gonzalo Bueno0%
$366K vol·$16K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 12h

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

19%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 18.8%
No 81.3%
$22.6M vol·$669K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

72,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$522K vol·$738K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 52m
Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$77.2M vol·$4.5M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

68%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 67.5%
No 32.5%
$2.6M vol·$1.6M liq·37 mkts⏱ 3d 21h

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$3.8M vol·$1.0M liq·32 mkts⏱ 10d 1h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$2.3M vol·$2.6M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

10%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 9.5%
No 90.5%
$30.0M vol·$894K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$531K vol·$714K liq·17 mkts⏱ 4d 1h

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 71.5%
No 28.5%
$9.4M vol·$1.3M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2027

49%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 48.5%
No 51.5%
$2.8M vol·$341K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$713K vol·$1.0M liq·10 mkts⏱ 3d 21h
Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 20.1%
No 80.0%
$718.2M vol·$60.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)

78%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 77.5%
No 22.5%
$782K vol·$326K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 2h

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

60-80M

99%chance
0.7% spread
Yes 99.3%
No 0.75%
$1.0M vol·$69K liq·7 mkts⏱ 1d 1h

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar

69%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 68.5%
No 31.5%
$1.5M vol·$949K liq·39 mkts⏱ 6d 1h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

67%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 66.5%
No 33.5%
$7.7M vol·$4.6M liq·9 mkts⏱ 13d 2h

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027

26%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 25.5%
No 74.5%
$27.9M vol·$419K liq·14 mkts⏱ 8mo

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31

80%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 79.5%
No 20.5%
$1.8M vol·$131K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Ethereum hit on October 21?

↑ 2,500

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$164K vol·$234K liq·14 mkts⏱ 1h 52m

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro

72%chance
3.0% spread
Yes 71.5%
No 28.5%
$470K vol·$297K liq·8 mkts⏱ 4d 1h

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M

98%chance
0.7% spread
Yes 98.4%
No 1.7%
$7.3M vol·$363K liq·13 mkts⏱ 14mo

EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal

63%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 62.5%
No 37.5%
$23.0M vol·$11.0M liq·24 mkts⏱ 7mo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

55%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 55.0%
No 45.0%
$42.0M vol·$345K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

↓ 2,700

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$2.5M vol·$1.3M liq·39 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers

15%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 15.4%
No 84.5%
$68.8M vol·$7.1M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

Ethereum above ___ on October 22?

1,900

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$199K vol·$486K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 52m

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

260-279

14%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 14.5%
No 85.5%
$300K vol·$229K liq·30 mkts⏱ 5d 13h

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)

66%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 65.5%
No 34.5%
$637K vol·$414K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 2h

Fed Decision in January?

No change

60%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 59.5%
No 40.5%
$791K vol·$639K liq·5 mkts⏱ 3mo

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

73%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 72.5%
No 27.5%
$915K vol·$953K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo