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What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$10.8M vol·$1.1M liq·35 mkts⏱ 9d 9h
Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
100%chance
3.0% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.1M vol·$100K liq·37 mkts⏱ 3h 39m
Fed Decision in October?
50%chance
1.0% spreadYes 49.5%
No 50.5%
$9.0M vol·$1.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
12%chance
1.0% spreadYes 11.5%
No 88.5%
$58.4M vol·$6.1M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
61%chance
0.1% spreadYes 61.3%
No 38.8%
$152.8M vol·$18.8M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 5h
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$68.6M vol·$2.6M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$37.7M vol·$9.1M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$5.1M vol·$504K liq·41 mkts⏱ 9d 9h
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 99.8%
No 0.25%
$2.6M vol·$389K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
18%chance
0.2% spreadYes 18.3%
No 81.7%
$1283.1M vol·$75.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Giants vs. Rams
Over94%
Under7%
$662K vol·$8.3M liq·59 mkts⏱ 6h 14m
Hot
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.2%
No 95.9%
$69.0M vol·$1.3M liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.8M vol·$475K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
65%chance
1.0% spreadYes 64.5%
No 35.5%
$1.5M vol·$418K liq·26 mkts⏱ 21h 59m
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
19%chance
2.0% spreadYes 19.0%
No 81.0%
$2.4M vol·$231K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Bitcoin above ___ on September 22?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$537K vol·$348K liq·11 mkts⏱ 21h 59m
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$7.0M vol·$1.4M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9d 9h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
63%chance
1.0% spreadYes 62.5%
No 37.5%
$13.2M vol·$1.3M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
64%chance
0.3% spreadYes 63.7%
No 36.3%
$30.1M vol·$467K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Next French Presidential Election
37%chance
0.1% spreadYes 37.5%
No 62.5%
$136.6M vol·$15.5M liq·128 mkts⏱ 7mo
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$15.0M vol·$901K liq·30 mkts⏱ 3mo
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
99%chance
1.0% spreadYes 98.9%
No 1.1%
$781K vol·$139K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6%chance
0.2% spreadYes 5.9%
No 94.1%
$22.8M vol·$458K liq⏱ 3mo
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
98%chance
0.2% spreadYes 98.2%
No 1.8%
$893K vol·$44K liq⏱ 12mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
1.0% spreadYes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$67.6M vol·$753K liq⏱ 3mo
What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$206K vol·$189K liq·18 mkts⏱ 6d 9h
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
28%chance
1.0% spreadYes 28.5%
No 71.5%
$7.3M vol·$402K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
78%chance
1.0% spreadYes 77.5%
No 22.5%
$868K vol·$96K liq·4 mkts⏱ 9d 9h
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Over83%
Under18%
$193K vol·$1.5M liq·27 mkts⏱ 7d 4h
Next Claude Opus released on...?
68%chance
4.6% spreadYes 68.3%
No 31.7%
$234K vol·$30K liq·16 mkts⏱ 9d 9h
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 51.2%
No 48.8%
$706.8M vol·$51.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$177K vol·$69K liq·16 mkts⏱ 9h 59m
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
28%chance
1.0% spreadYes 27.5%
No 72.5%
$618K vol·$285K liq·26 mkts⏱ 3d 21h
Hot
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
51%chance
2.0% spreadYes 51.0%
No 49.0%
$97.3M vol·$2.0M liq·57 mkts⏱ 3mo
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$25.2M vol·$1.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 9mo
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
58%chance
0.2% spreadYes 58.3%
No 41.7%
$37.6M vol·$8.0M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$31.1M vol·$331K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A
FOKUS100%
Sangal0%
$131K vol·$159K liq·17 mkts⏱ 3h 59m
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
37%chance
3.6% spreadYes 37.4%
No 62.6%
$3.9M vol·$1.1M liq·49 mkts⏱ 3mo
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
Over84%
Under16%
$134K vol·$1.3M liq·27 mkts⏱ 7d 7h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
20%chance
1.0% spreadYes 19.5%
No 80.5%
$12.0M vol·$426K liq⏱ 3mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
19%chance
1.0% spreadYes 18.5%
No 81.5%
$14.9M vol·$375K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
21%chance
0.1% spreadYes 20.6%
No 79.3%
$707.4M vol·$60.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Ohio Senate Election Winner
60%chance
1.0% spreadYes 59.5%
No 40.5%
$602K vol·$160K liq·13 mkts⏱ 1mo
Hot
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$42.6M vol·$569K liq⏱ 3mo
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
56%chance
1.0% spreadYes 55.5%
No 44.5%
$13.9M vol·$293K liq·15 mkts⏱ 3mo
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
B859%
Luminosity42%
$104K vol·$167K liq·11 mkts⏱ 1d 0h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
63%chance
1.0% spreadYes 62.5%
No 37.5%
$4.9M vol·$699K liq·9 mkts⏱ 1mo
NBA: 2027 Champion
22%chance
1.0% spreadYes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$22.1M vol·$8.5M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9mo
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
79%chance
1.0% spreadYes 78.5%
No 21.5%
$7.0M vol·$5.3M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo