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Predictions

Trending Predictions

8

Fed Decision in October?

$54.3M vol · 5 markets· ⏱ 6d 23h

No change

88%Yes
Buy Yes 87.5%
Buy No 12.5%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$29.4M vol · 5 markets· ⏱ 13d 0h

Democrats Sweep

67%Yes
Buy Yes 66.5%
Buy No 33.5%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$21.4M vol · 20 markets· ⏱ 9d 19h

September 20

100%Yes
Buy Yes 100.0%
Buy No 0.00%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

$59.0M vol · 42 markets· ⏱ 8mo

Other

50%Yes
Buy Yes 50.0%
Buy No 50.0%

Brazil Presidential Election

$191.2M vol · 32 markets· ⏱ 3d 23h

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%Yes
Buy Yes 78.5%
Buy No 21.4%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

$57.3M vol · 89 markets· ⏱ 2mo

Harry Kane

77%Yes
Buy Yes 76.8%
Buy No 23.2%

NBA: 2027 Champion

$28.8M vol · 36 markets· ⏱ 8mo

Oklahoma City Thunder

22%Yes
Buy Yes 21.5%
Buy No 78.5%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$715.1M vol · 128 markets· ⏱ 24mo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%Yes
Buy Yes 49.0%
Buy No 51.0%
/
Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

88%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 87.5%
No 12.5%
$54.3M vol·$5.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 6d 23h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 66.5%
No 33.5%
$29.4M vol·$9.2M liq·5 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$21.4M vol·$648K liq·20 mkts⏱ 9d 19h
Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$59.0M vol·$11.3M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 78.5%
No 21.4%
$191.2M vol·$1.4M liq·32 mkts⏱ 3d 23h
Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

77%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 76.8%
No 23.2%
$57.3M vol·$12.0M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

22%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$28.8M vol·$8.1M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo
Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%chance
Yes 49.0%
No 51.0%
$715.1M vol·$51.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

260-279

32%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 32.0%
No 68.0%
$2.0M vol·$274K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 11h

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

69%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 68.5%
No 31.5%
$5.5M vol·$980K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$4.3M vol·$898K liq·9 mkts⏱ 3d 23h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$38.1M vol·$332K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$50.4M vol·$4.0M liq·28 mkts⏱ 5d 23h
Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%chance
0.2% spread
Yes 16.6%
No 83.4%
$1296.8M vol·$75.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo
Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$77.5M vol·$4.4M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 91.5%
No 8.5%
$19.7M vol·$6.5M liq·9 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$9.5M vol·$1.8M liq·37 mkts⏱ 9d 23h
Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 46.5%
No 53.5%
$154.8M vol·$20.1M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

72,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$594K vol·$681K liq·11 mkts⏱ 11h 51m

Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno

Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 2 Winner

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna100%
Gonzalo Bueno0%
$370K vol·$14K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 10h

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$606K vol·$726K liq·17 mkts⏱ 3d 23h

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

18%chance
0.8% spread
Yes 18.4%
No 81.6%
$22.6M vol·$670K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$2.4M vol·$2.4M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$3.8M vol·$1.1M liq·32 mkts⏱ 9d 23h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

68%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 67.5%
No 32.5%
$2.6M vol·$1.6M liq·37 mkts⏱ 3d 19h

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

10%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 9.5%
No 90.5%
$30.0M vol·$893K liq·5 mkts⏱ 8mo

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2027

49%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 48.5%
No 51.5%
$2.8M vol·$369K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$714K vol·$1.0M liq·10 mkts⏱ 3d 19h

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

72%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 71.5%
No 28.5%
$9.4M vol·$1.3M liq·18 mkts⏱ 8mo

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)

79%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 78.5%
No 21.5%
$783K vol·$319K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

60-80M

99%chance
0.6% spread
Yes 99.2%
No 0.80%
$1.0M vol·$67K liq·7 mkts⏱ 23h 50m

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar

68%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 68.0%
No 32.0%
$1.5M vol·$926K liq·39 mkts⏱ 5d 23h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

67%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 66.5%
No 33.5%
$7.7M vol·$3.9M liq·9 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro

72%chance
3.0% spread
Yes 71.5%
No 28.5%
$519K vol·$401K liq·8 mkts⏱ 3d 23h
Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 20.1%
No 80.0%
$718.2M vol·$60.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31

76%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 76.0%
No 24.0%
$1.9M vol·$111K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027

24%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 23.5%
No 76.5%
$27.9M vol·$408K liq·14 mkts⏱ 8mo
Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers

15%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 15.4%
No 84.5%
$68.9M vol·$7.2M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M

98%chance
0.7% spread
Yes 98.4%
No 1.7%
$7.3M vol·$387K liq·13 mkts⏱ 14mo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

55%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 55.0%
No 45.0%
$42.0M vol·$336K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal

63%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 62.5%
No 37.5%
$23.0M vol·$10.9M liq·24 mkts⏱ 7mo

Ethereum above ___ on October 22?

1,900

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$216K vol·$371K liq·11 mkts⏱ 11h 51m

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

↓ 2,700

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$2.5M vol·$1.3M liq·39 mkts⏱ 9d 23h

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 1 Winner

Ann Li100%
Zeynep Sonmez0%
$121K vol·$126K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 20h

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

260-279

16%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 15.5%
No 84.5%
$306K vol·$254K liq·30 mkts⏱ 5d 11h

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)

66%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 65.5%
No 34.5%
$637K vol·$432K liq·13 mkts⏱ 13d 0h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?

72,000

100%chance
0.1% spread
Yes 99.8%
No 0.25%
$236K vol·$444K liq·11 mkts⏱ 1d 11h

Fed Decision in January?

No change

60%chance
2.0% spread
Yes 60.0%
No 40.0%
$793K vol·$606K liq·5 mkts⏱ 3mo

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

73%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 72.5%
No 27.5%
$915K vol·$1.0M liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo
Hot

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance
1.0% spread
Yes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$74.9M vol·$333K liq⏱ 2mo