Fed Decision in October?

72%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 71.5%

No 28.5%

$39.8M vol·$3.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 14d 3h

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

27%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 26.5%

No 73.5%

$5.5M vol·$838K liq·4 mkts⏱ 26mo

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.6M vol·$314K liq·35 mkts⏱ 6d 23h

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$52.4M vol·$11.4M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

83%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 83.5%

No 16.6%

$181.9M vol·$1.8M liq·32 mkts⏱ 11d 3h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$12.9M vol·$827K liq·20 mkts⏱ 16d 23h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

63%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 62.7%

No 37.3%

$50.2M vol·$9.9M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

33%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 33.0%

No 67.0%

$2.1M vol·$273K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 15h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

44%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 44.0%

No 56.0%

$150.8M vol·$17.4M liq·128 mkts⏱ 6mo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

63%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 62.5%

No 37.5%

$23.4M vol·$8.6M liq·5 mkts⏱ 20d 4h

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

48%chance

0.4% spread

Yes 48.2%

No 51.8%

$46.4M vol·$3.3M liq·28 mkts⏱ 13d 3h

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 14?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$466K vol·$321K liq·16 mkts⏱ 3h 12m

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$34.7M vol·$277K liq·29 mkts⏱ 2mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

91%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 90.5%

No 9.5%

$17.1M vol·$5.1M liq·9 mkts⏱ 20d 4h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.05%

$493K vol·$641K liq·11 mkts⏱ 15h 12m

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

94%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 94.0%

No 6.0%

$1.5M vol·$1.1M liq·3 mkts⏱ 20d 4h

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

61%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 60.5%

No 39.5%

$40.0M vol·$602K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$6.6M vol·$1.5M liq·31 mkts⏱ 17d 3h

Eagles vs. Commanders

Eagles51%

Commanders49%

$285K vol·$625 liq·280 mkts⏱ 18d 0h

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

22%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 22.1%

No 77.8%

$716.2M vol·$60.5M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo

Worlds 2026: Winner

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$938K vol·$489K liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Fed Decision in December?

79%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 78.5%

No 21.5%

$3.5M vol·$844K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$477K vol·$508K liq·19 mkts⏱ 4d 3h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

50%chance

Yes 50.0%

No 50.0%

$1.2M vol·$785K liq·9 mkts⏱ 11d 3h

NBA: 2027 Champion

22%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 21.5%

No 78.5%

$25.6M vol·$8.0M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Aurora Gaming71%

NIP30%

$232K vol·$157K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 42m

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$75.4M vol·$4.5M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

92%chance

0.4% spread

Yes 92.1%

No 7.9%

$5.3M vol·$1.8M liq·49 mkts⏱ 14mo

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Over77%

Under24%

$244K vol·$713K liq·56 mkts⏱ 14h 12m

Bears vs. Seahawks

Seahawks64%

Bears37%

$353K vol·$587 liq·280 mkts⏱ 19d 0h

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 16.9%

No 83.2%

$1294.1M vol·$76.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo

Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

12%chance

0.4% spread

Yes 11.9%

No 88.1%

$65.8M vol·$7.7M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

64%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 63.5%

No 36.5%

$1.1M vol·$259K liq·30 mkts⏱ 1mo

Hot

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

9%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 8.5%

No 91.5%

$76.1M vol·$307K liq·11 mkts⏱ 2mo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

80%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 79.5%

No 20.5%

$8.1M vol·$6.3M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.7M vol·$819K liq·33 mkts⏱ 17d 3h

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$1.5M vol·$446K liq·27 mkts⏱ 2mo

Largest Company end of December 2026?

72%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 71.5%

No 28.5%

$8.3M vol·$1.4M liq·28 mkts⏱ 2mo

Seahawks vs. Broncos

Over96%

Under5%

$719K vol·$6.8M liq·309 mkts⏱ 23h 27m

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

17%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 16.5%

No 83.5%

$346K vol·$292K liq·26 mkts⏱ 5d 15h

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

25%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 24.5%

No 75.5%

$197K vol·$77K liq·2 mkts⏱ 2mo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

46%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 45.6%

No 54.4%

$44.5M vol·$292K liq·31 mkts⏱ 16d 23h

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$250K vol·$420K liq·17 mkts⏱ 4d 3h

What price will Ethereum hit on October 14?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$111K vol·$166K liq·14 mkts⏱ 3h 12m

Hot

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

5%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 4.7%

No 95.3%

$73.4M vol·$748K liq·7 mkts⏱ 2mo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$2.3M vol·$894K liq·29 mkts⏱ 17d 3h

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 85.5%

No 14.5%

$764K vol·$157K liq⏱ 1mo

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

49%chance

Yes 49.0%

No 51.0%

$711.4M vol·$52.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

100%chance

0.1% spread

Yes 100.0%

No 0.00%

$17.7M vol·$1.9M liq·30 mkts⏱ 2mo

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

27%chance

1.0% spread

Yes 26.5%

No 73.5%

$9.0M vol·$205K liq·6 mkts⏱ 2mo

Trending Predictions