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Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
18%chance
0.6% spreadYes 18.3%
No 81.7%
$1282.8M vol·$75.6M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$58.2M vol·$6.3M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$37.3M vol·$10.6M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$1.6M vol·$389K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers100%
Baltimore Orioles1%
$581K vol·$47K liq·29 mkts⏱ 6d 22h
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$9.5M vol·$1.6M liq·33 mkts⏱ 10d 2h
Hot
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
59%chance
2.1% spreadYes 58.9%
No 41.1%
$97.1M vol·$2.2M liq·57 mkts⏱ 3mo
Fed Decision in October?
55%chance
1.0% spreadYes 54.5%
No 45.5%
$8.2M vol·$2.3M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Bitcoin above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$605K vol·$590K liq·11 mkts⏱ 14h 53m
What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.6M vol·$584K liq·21 mkts⏱ 2h 53m
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
23%chance
2.0% spreadYes 23.0%
No 77.0%
$2.1M vol·$191K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
60%chance
1.0% spreadYes 60.1%
No 39.9%
$29.9M vol·$461K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
1.0% spreadYes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$67.5M vol·$736K liq⏱ 3mo
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
78%chance
1.0% spreadYes 77.5%
No 22.5%
$6.9M vol·$5.8M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$4.6M vol·$978K liq·40 mkts⏱ 10d 2h
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
43%chance
1.0% spreadYes 42.5%
No 57.5%
$1.2M vol·$367K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 14h
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
83%chance
2.0% spreadYes 83.0%
No 17.0%
$351K vol·$134K liq·10 mkts⏱ 14h 53m
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
59%chance
0.5% spreadYes 58.7%
No 41.3%
$152.0M vol·$19.5M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 22h
Trump out as President by September 30?
1%chance
0.2% spreadYes 0.50%
No 99.5%
$1.3M vol·$242K liq⏱ 10d 2h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$30.9M vol·$250K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Saba Purtseladze
Adrian Andreev100%
Saba Purtseladze0%
$241K vol·$10K liq·2 mkts⏱ 6d 9h
Hot
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
52%chance
0.2% spreadYes 52.1%
No 47.9%
$38.4M vol·$2.7M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3mo
Giants vs. Rams
Over93%
Under7%
$372K vol·$1.4M liq·59 mkts⏱ 23h 8m
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$67.8M vol·$3.7M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$6.7M vol·$1.4M liq·35 mkts⏱ 10d 2h
Hot
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
57%chance
0.1% spreadYes 57.4%
No 42.6%
$37.5M vol·$8.1M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
19%chance
2.0% spreadYes 19.0%
No 81.0%
$14.9M vol·$321K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
94%chance
1.0% spreadYes 94.0%
No 6.0%
$782K vol·$41K liq⏱ 12mo
What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$680K vol·$371K liq·24 mkts⏱ 2h 53m
EPL: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$18.1M vol·$11.0M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade
Arthur Fery51%
Andres Andrade50%
$168K vol·$154K liq⏱ 6d 11h
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$160K vol·$141K liq·16 mkts⏱ 2h 53m
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
98%chance
0.7% spreadYes 97.5%
No 2.5%
$580K vol·$126K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
61%chance
1.0% spreadYes 60.5%
No 39.5%
$12.8M vol·$1.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$217K vol·$345K liq·11 mkts⏱ 14h 53m
Hot
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
7%chance
1.0% spreadYes 6.5%
No 93.5%
$73.6M vol·$213K liq·10 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 51.2%
No 48.8%
$706.6M vol·$52.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%chance
1.0% spreadYes 13.5%
No 86.5%
$4.1M vol·$236K liq·4 mkts⏱ 3mo
Llaneros FC vs. Atlético Nacional
53%chance
1.0% spreadYes 52.5%
No 47.5%
$177K vol·$334K liq·3 mkts⏱ 8m
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
30%chance
1.0% spreadYes 29.5%
No 70.5%
$471K vol·$308K liq·26 mkts⏱ 4d 14h
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
86%chance
0.1% spreadYes 86.3%
No 13.8%
$6.3M vol·$911K liq·19 mkts⏱ 10d 2h
Hot
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.2%
No 95.9%
$42.5M vol·$473K liq⏱ 3mo
NBA: 2027 Champion
22%chance
1.0% spreadYes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$22.1M vol·$9.8M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9mo
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
97%chance
0.1% spreadYes 97.0%
No 2.9%
$2.0M vol·$243K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6%chance
0.3% spreadYes 5.9%
No 94.2%
$22.6M vol·$419K liq⏱ 3mo
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
73%chance
3.0% spreadYes 72.5%
No 27.5%
$705K vol·$76K liq·4 mkts⏱ 10d 2h
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
72%chance
2.0% spreadYes 72.0%
No 28.0%
$7.7M vol·$2.1M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
18%chance
1.0% spreadYes 17.5%
No 82.5%
$11.9M vol·$429K liq⏱ 3mo
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
54%chance
Yes 54.0%
No 46.0%
$108K vol·$11K liq·13 mkts⏱ 9d 19h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$25.1M vol·$1.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 9mo