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Hot
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
18%chance
0.6% spreadYes 18.3%
No 81.7%
$1282.8M vol·$75.7M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Hot
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$58.2M vol·$6.6M liq·33 mkts⏱ 4mo
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers100%
Baltimore Orioles0%
$749K vol·$156K liq·31 mkts⏱ 6d 20h
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$37.3M vol·$11.0M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$1.6M vol·$390K liq·6 mkts⏱ 1mo
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$9.5M vol·$1.6M liq·33 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
Bitcoin above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$686K vol·$629K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 36m
Fed Decision in October?
55%chance
1.0% spreadYes 54.5%
No 45.5%
$8.2M vol·$2.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$1.7M vol·$426K liq·21 mkts⏱ 1h 36m
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
22%chance
2.0% spreadYes 22.0%
No 78.0%
$2.1M vol·$215K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
60%chance
1.7% spreadYes 60.0%
No 40.1%
$97.2M vol·$2.2M liq·57 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
1.0% spreadYes 16.5%
No 83.5%
$67.5M vol·$796K liq⏱ 3mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
60%chance
0.9% spreadYes 60.1%
No 40.0%
$29.9M vol·$506K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Brazil Presidential Election
59%chance
0.1% spreadYes 59.1%
No 40.9%
$152.1M vol·$19.6M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 21h
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
78%chance
1.0% spreadYes 77.5%
No 22.5%
$6.9M vol·$5.9M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$4.6M vol·$803K liq·40 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
50%chance
1.0% spreadYes 49.5%
No 50.5%
$1.2M vol·$393K liq·26 mkts⏱ 1d 13h
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
85%chance
1.0% spreadYes 84.5%
No 15.5%
$353K vol·$135K liq·10 mkts⏱ 13h 36m
Trump out as President by September 30?
0%chance
0.1% spreadYes 0.45%
No 99.6%
$1.3M vol·$243K liq⏱ 10d 1h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$30.9M vol·$280K liq·24 mkts⏱ 3mo
Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Saba Purtseladze
Adrian Andreev100%
Saba Purtseladze0%
$241K vol·$25K liq·2 mkts⏱ 6d 8h
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
52%chance
0.4% spreadYes 52.2%
No 47.8%
$38.4M vol·$2.7M liq·28 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$67.8M vol·$3.7M liq·47 mkts⏱ 3mo
Giants vs. Rams
Over92%
Under8%
$373K vol·$1.4M liq·59 mkts⏱ 21h 51m
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$6.7M vol·$1.7M liq·35 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
57%chance
0.4% spreadYes 57.3%
No 42.7%
$37.5M vol·$8.2M liq·89 mkts⏱ 1mo
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
94%chance
1.3% spreadYes 93.8%
No 6.2%
$789K vol·$36K liq⏱ 12mo
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$191K vol·$147K liq·16 mkts⏱ 1h 36m
What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.00%
$691K vol·$272K liq·24 mkts⏱ 1h 36m
EPL: 2027 Champion
50%chance
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%
$18.1M vol·$11.0M liq·24 mkts⏱ 8mo
Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade
Arthur Fery51%
Andres Andrade50%
$168K vol·$154K liq⏱ 6d 9h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
19%chance
2.0% spreadYes 19.0%
No 81.0%
$14.9M vol·$344K liq·12 mkts⏱ 3mo
Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
100%chance
0.1% spreadYes 100.0%
No 0.05%
$230K vol·$337K liq·11 mkts⏱ 13h 36m
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
61%chance
1.0% spreadYes 60.5%
No 39.5%
$12.8M vol·$1.4M liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
98%chance
0.7% spreadYes 97.5%
No 2.5%
$582K vol·$146K liq·3 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
7%chance
1.0% spreadYes 6.5%
No 93.5%
$73.6M vol·$222K liq·10 mkts⏱ 3mo
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
98%chance
1.6% spreadYes 97.9%
No 2.1%
$2.1M vol·$286K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%chance
2.0% spreadYes 14.0%
No 86.0%
$4.1M vol·$245K liq·4 mkts⏱ 3mo
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
30%chance
1.0% spreadYes 29.5%
No 70.5%
$476K vol·$333K liq·26 mkts⏱ 4d 13h
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
86%chance
0.1% spreadYes 86.4%
No 13.7%
$6.3M vol·$931K liq·19 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
NBA: 2027 Champion
22%chance
1.0% spreadYes 21.5%
No 78.5%
$22.1M vol·$10.0M liq·36 mkts⏱ 9mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6%chance
0.3% spreadYes 5.9%
No 94.2%
$22.6M vol·$377K liq⏱ 3mo
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
73%chance
3.0% spreadYes 72.5%
No 27.5%
$705K vol·$86K liq·4 mkts⏱ 10d 1h
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
71%chance
1.0% spreadYes 70.5%
No 29.5%
$7.7M vol·$2.2M liq·32 mkts⏱ 12d 21h
Hot
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$68.6M vol·$1.3M liq·6 mkts⏱ 3mo
Hot
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
51%chance
0.1% spreadYes 51.2%
No 48.8%
$706.6M vol·$52.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
55%chance
Yes 55.0%
No 45.0%
$108K vol·$14K liq·13 mkts⏱ 9d 18h
Hot
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
0.1% spreadYes 4.0%
No 96.0%
$42.5M vol·$562K liq⏱ 3mo
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
13%chance
1.0% spreadYes 12.5%
No 87.5%
$25.1M vol·$1.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 9mo
Hot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
21%chance
0.1% spreadYes 20.8%
No 79.3%
$707.3M vol·$60.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 25mo