Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

95%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 94.5%

Нет 5.5%

$56.8M vol·$6.8M liq·5 mkts⏱ 6d 8h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$22.3M vol·$572K liq·20 mkts⏱ 9d 4h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

69%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 68.5%

Нет 31.5%

$30.4M vol·$11.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

76%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 76.1%

Нет 23.8%

$58.5M vol·$13.0M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%шанс

Да 49.0%

Нет 51.0%

$715.3M vol·$51.0M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 77.6%

Нет 22.4%

$191.8M vol·$1.0M liq·32 mkts⏱ 3d 8h

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

O/U 221.5

Over82%

Under19%

$1.0M vol·$3.9M liq·70 mkts⏱ 3h 58m

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

49%шанс

Спред 0.8%

Да 48.8%

Нет 51.2%

$51.2M vol·$3.7M liq·28 mkts⏱ 5d 8h

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

23%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 22.5%

Нет 77.5%

$29.1M vol·$8.5M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Patriots vs. Bears

O/U 24.5

Over97%

Under3%

$944K vol·$12.1M liq·306 mkts⏱ 5h 13m

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$59.3M vol·$11.5M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

280-299

55%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 54.5%

Нет 45.5%

$2.5M vol·$240K liq·26 mkts⏱ 20h 58m

Nuggets vs. Thunder

O/U 221.5

Over81%

Under20%

$842K vol·$3.3M liq·66 mkts⏱ 6h 28m

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%шанс

Спред 0.2%

Да 46.2%

Нет 53.8%

$155.5M vol·$19.3M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

93%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 92.5%

Нет 7.5%

$20.2M vol·$7.5M liq·9 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$38.4M vol·$339K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Game 1 Winner

PARIVISION100%

Astra Invicta0%

$612K vol·$521K liq·29 mkts⏱ 4h 13m

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

68%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 67.5%

Нет 32.5%

$5.5M vol·$978K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$4.4M vol·$814K liq·9 mkts⏱ 3d 8h

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$77.7M vol·$4.4M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%шанс

Спред 0.8%

Да 16.6%

Нет 83.4%

$1297.0M vol·$75.1M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$9.8M vol·$1.8M liq·38 mkts⏱ 9d 8h

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over100%

Under0%

$437K vol·$85K liq·20 mkts⏱ 3h 48m

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$896K vol·$719K liq·19 mkts⏱ 3d 8h

Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Liverpool FC

46%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 45.5%

Нет 54.5%

$429K vol·$252K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2d 18h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

69%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 68.5%

Нет 31.5%

$7.9M vol·$3.2M liq·9 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?

72,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.05%

$493K vol·$650K liq·11 mkts⏱ 20h 58m

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$3.9M vol·$1.1M liq·33 mkts⏱ 9d 8h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

65%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 65.0%

Нет 35.0%

$876K vol·$797K liq·10 mkts⏱ 3d 4h

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 22?

↓ 82,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$274K vol·$415K liq·16 mkts⏱ 8h 58m

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 4.5%

Нет 95.5%

$24.4M vol·$382K liq⏱ 2mo

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: JiJieHao (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5)

JiJieHao100%

BC.Game Esports0%

$228K vol·$30K liq·22 mkts⏱ 3h 53m

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

36%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 36.0%

Нет 64.0%

$10.0M vol·$235K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar

71%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 70.5%

Нет 29.5%

$1.7M vol·$988K liq·39 mkts⏱ 5d 8h

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over100%

Under0%

$235K vol·$56K liq·16 mkts⏱ 3h 58m

Hot

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 16.5%

Нет 83.5%

$75.0M vol·$325K liq⏱ 2mo

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$2.5M vol·$2.3M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

55%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 55.0%

Нет 45.0%

$42.1M vol·$299K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

67%шанс

Спред 2.7%

Да 67.5%

Нет 32.6%

$1.7M vol·$726K liq·53 mkts⏱ 3d 8h

Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers

15%шанс

Спред 0.3%

Да 15.4%

Нет 84.5%

$68.9M vol·$7.0M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)

96%шанс

Спред 0.4%

Да 96.2%

Нет 3.8%

$377K vol·$260K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)

81%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 80.5%

Нет 19.5%

$803K vol·$322K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

69%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 68.5%

Нет 31.5%

$2.8M vol·$1.4M liq·37 mkts⏱ 3d 4h

Sharks vs. Senators

Sharks vs. Senators: O/U 4.5

Over81%

Under20%

$197K vol·$817K liq·6 mkts⏱ 3h 58m

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an

63%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 62.5%

Нет 37.5%

$1.7M vol·$387K liq·30 mkts⏱ 1mo

Fed Decision in January?

No change

68%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 68.0%

Нет 32.0%

$881K vol·$498K liq·5 mkts⏱ 3mo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro

71%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 70.5%

Нет 29.5%

$549K vol·$320K liq·8 mkts⏱ 3d 8h

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028

30%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 29.5%

Нет 70.5%

$6.2M vol·$654K liq·4 mkts⏱ 26mo

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

68%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 67.5%

Нет 32.5%

$4.4M vol·$597K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)

63%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 62.5%

Нет 37.5%

$1.1M vol·$398K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 9h

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