Hot

Fed Decision in October?

No change

94%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 93.5%

Нет 6.5%

$57.3M vol·$5.7M liq·5 mkts⏱ 6d 5h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

69%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 68.5%

Нет 31.5%

$30.4M vol·$12.1M liq·5 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Cavaliers O/U 106.5

Over82%

Under18%

$2.1M vol·$8.9M liq·365 mkts⏱ 24m

Hot

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%шанс

Да 49.0%

Нет 51.0%

$715.8M vol·$50.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Hot

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

76%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 76.4%

Нет 23.5%

$58.7M vol·$13.2M liq·89 mkts⏱ 2mo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$22.6M vol·$675K liq·20 mkts⏱ 9d 1h

Patriots vs. Bears

O/U 26.5

Over97%

Under3%

$1.3M vol·$15.0M liq·306 mkts⏱ 1h 39m

Nuggets vs. Thunder

O/U 221.5

Over81%

Under20%

$1.1M vol·$6.6M liq·66 mkts⏱ 2h 54m

Hot

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

76%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 76.3%

Нет 23.8%

$192.0M vol·$819K liq·32 mkts⏱ 3d 5h

Hot

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

49%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 48.9%

Нет 51.0%

$51.3M vol·$3.9M liq·28 mkts⏱ 5d 5h

Hot

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 46.3%

Нет 53.8%

$155.6M vol·$19.5M liq·128 mkts⏱ 5mo

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

23%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 22.5%

Нет 77.5%

$29.1M vol·$8.5M liq·36 mkts⏱ 8mo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

280-299

48%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 47.5%

Нет 52.5%

$2.6M vol·$291K liq·26 mkts⏱ 17h 24m

Hot

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Other

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$59.4M vol·$11.6M liq·42 mkts⏱ 8mo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

93%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 92.5%

Нет 7.5%

$20.3M vol·$7.5M liq·9 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

67%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 66.5%

Нет 33.5%

$5.6M vol·$965K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$38.5M vol·$276K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Hot

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$77.7M vol·$4.5M liq·47 mkts⏱ 2mo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$4.5M vol·$816K liq·9 mkts⏱ 3d 5h

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↑ 84,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$905K vol·$727K liq·19 mkts⏱ 3d 5h

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 85,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$9.8M vol·$1.9M liq·38 mkts⏱ 9d 5h

Hot

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%шанс

Спред 1.2%

Да 17.6%

Нет 82.4%

$1297.1M vol·$75.2M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

36%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 36.0%

Нет 64.0%

$10.2M vol·$259K liq·8 mkts⏱ 2mo

Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Liverpool FC

46%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 45.5%

Нет 54.5%

$431K vol·$286K liq·3 mkts⏱ 2d 15h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?

72,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.05%

$544K vol·$666K liq·11 mkts⏱ 17h 24m

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 22?

↓ 82,000

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$335K vol·$415K liq·16 mkts⏱ 5h 24m

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

70%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 69.5%

Нет 30.5%

$3.1M vol·$1.3M liq·37 mkts⏱ 3d 1h

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 4.5%

Нет 95.5%

$24.4M vol·$390K liq⏱ 2mo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić

71%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 71.0%

Нет 29.0%

$1.8M vol·$747K liq·53 mkts⏱ 3d 5h

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 10-20%

66%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 66.0%

Нет 34.0%

$909K vol·$837K liq·10 mkts⏱ 3d 1h

Worlds 2026: Winner

Team I

50%шанс

Да 50.0%

Нет 50.0%

$2.6M vol·$2.5M liq·20 mkts⏱ 1mo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

69%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 68.5%

Нет 31.5%

$7.9M vol·$4.2M liq·9 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

↑ $100

100%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 100.0%

Нет 0.00%

$3.9M vol·$928K liq·33 mkts⏱ 9d 5h

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an

63%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 62.5%

Нет 37.5%

$1.8M vol·$364K liq·30 mkts⏱ 1mo

Predators vs. Bruins

Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5

Over80%

Under21%

$209K vol·$971K liq·6 mkts⏱ 24m

Sharks vs. Senators

Sharks vs. Senators: O/U 4.5

Over81%

Under20%

$210K vol·$1.1M liq·6 mkts⏱ 24m

Hot

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers

15%шанс

Спред 0.3%

Да 15.4%

Нет 84.5%

$68.9M vol·$6.9M liq·33 mkts⏱ 5mo

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)

97%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 96.6%

Нет 3.4%

$380K vol·$231K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

59%шанс

Спред 2.0%

Да 59.0%

Нет 41.0%

$42.2M vol·$295K liq·23 mkts⏱ 2mo

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)

84%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 83.5%

Нет 16.5%

$808K vol·$354K liq·13 mkts⏱ 12d 6h

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

72%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 71.5%

Нет 28.5%

$4.4M vol·$675K liq·5 mkts⏱ 1mo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar

70%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 69.5%

Нет 30.5%

$1.7M vol·$972K liq·39 mkts⏱ 5d 5h

Hot

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%шанс

Спред 0.1%

Да 20.1%

Нет 80.0%

$718.3M vol·$60.1M liq·128 mkts⏱ 24mo

Liberty vs. Kennesaw State

O/U 35.5

Over85%

Under15%

$165K vol·$2.4M liq·214 mkts⏱ 24m

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro

66%шанс

Спред 3.0%

Да 65.5%

Нет 34.5%

$617K vol·$163K liq·8 mkts⏱ 3d 5h

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028

30%шанс

Спред 1.0%

Да 29.5%

Нет 70.5%

$6.2M vol·$588K liq·4 mkts⏱ 26mo

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%шанс

Спред 0.2%

Да 3.8%

Нет 96.2%

$13.0M vol·$344K liq⏱ 2mo

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

18%шанс

Спред 0.8%

Да 18.4%

Нет 81.6%

$22.8M vol·$772K liq·31 mkts⏱ 2mo

Kings vs. Islanders

Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5

Over75%

Under26%

$145K vol·$1.1M liq·7 mkts⏱ 54m

Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong

Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong Set 1 Winner

J.J. Wolf100%

Alexander Maarten Jong0%

$140K vol·$141K liq·16 mkts⏱ 6d 16h

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